OnlyBucs

90 wins? Probably Surge using another nick. )))))))

6F51545C4F57575C7C594E5D0A380 wrote: I see we are on track to have a win total in the 50's. :-/


Was there ever any doubt?


Who in the hel is Roberto 218?
If you look at his post in this thread it appears he was hitting the homebrew rather liberally.

4F7A6D6D665F6D6D66616D080 wrote: 90 wins?  Probably Surge using another nick.  )))))))
No. I was the very first to make a prediction. I can predict and live with an awful season without whining incessantly about it, like I am entitled to something.

Really hope they can somehow only lose 99. Stupid thing to hope for but 100 loss seasons are a drain on my fandom.

Steelers = 12

Penguins = 37



Total = 49



Bucs at 32. Sometime in August Pittsburgh's MLB team will surpass the win total of it's NHL and NFL. Really not good.

5641574702040305030D340 wrote: Steelers = 12

Penguins = 37



Total = 49



Bucs at 32. Sometime in August Pittsburgh's MLB team will surpass the win total of it's NHL and NFL. Really not good.
That may be a little optimistic. They would have to at least go 18-32 through August 31. That's a pct of .360. No one expected them to begin the season 12-11 and those 12 quick wins still represent more than a third of their total of 32 wins. Since that early spurt they have gone 20-42 for a pct of .323. They will have to win at a higher pct (.360) to get 50 wins by August 31 and that will likely be with a roster further weakened after the TDL.

The Pirates are currently 34-56, a winning percentage of .378.  To maintain that pace, they would have to go 27-41 the rest of the way, where they'd end the season at 61-101, a .376 winning percentage.  As Bobster pointed out, that's well-above the pace at which they've played since that 12-11 start.  (Since those first 23 games, they've played at a .328 pace, going 22-45).



To end at 50 wins, that means going 16-56 after the Break, a .222 winning percentage.  Unless BC trades Frazier, Reynolds, and Rodriquez, they should manage that.



To end at 59 wins, they need to go 25-47, a .347 winning percentage, which would be an improvement on how they've played since those first 23 games.  A lot of things would have to go right, even with no one being traded, for that to happen.



So indeed, it looks like they'll end up around 55 wins, give or take a couple of games.



With regard to runs scored, so far the Bucs have plated 319 runners, an average of 2.82 per game.  If they maintain that pace, they'll end the season with 457 total runs scored. With regard to our contest, Javy is closest with his prediction of 544 runs scored. Yikes!

396F796D627868636E794B6C666A626725680B0 wrote: The Pirates are currently 34-56, a winning percentage of .378.  To maintain that pace, they would have to go 27-41 the rest of the way, where they'd end the season at 61-101, a .376 winning percentage.  As Bobster pointed out, that's well-above the pace at which they've played since that 12-11 start.  (Since those first 23 games, they've played at a .328 pace, going 22-45).



To end at 50 wins, that means going 16-56 after the Break, a .222 winning percentage.  Unless BC trades Frazier, Reynolds, and Rodriquez, they should manage that.



To end at 59 wins, they need to go 25-47, a .347 winning percentage, which would be an improvement on how they've played since those first 23 games.  A lot of things would have to go right, even with no one being traded, for that to happen.



So indeed, it looks like they'll end up around 55 wins, give or take a couple of games.



With regard to runs scored, so far the Bucs have plated 319 runners, an average of 2.82 per game.  If they maintain that pace, they'll end the season with 457 total runs scored.  With regard to our contest, Javy is closest with his prediction of 544 runs scored.  Yikes!


very enlightening! One minor correction team has scored 319 runs in 90 games so that is average of 3.54 so if they average that for the season the runs scored would be 574. Of course who thinks the team can maintain this pace?

496F6E796F7F0C0 wrote: The Pirates are currently 34-56, a winning percentage of .378.  To maintain that pace, they would have to go 27-41 the rest of the way, where they'd end the season at 61-101, a .376 winning percentage.  As Bobster pointed out, that's well-above the pace at which they've played since that 12-11 start.  (Since those first 23 games, they've played at a .328 pace, going 22-45).



To end at 50 wins, that means going 16-56 after the Break, a .222 winning percentage.  Unless BC trades Frazier, Reynolds, and Rodriquez, they should manage that.



To end at 59 wins, they need to go 25-47, a .347 winning percentage, which would be an improvement on how they've played since those first 23 games.  A lot of things would have to go right, even with no one being traded, for that to happen.



So indeed, it looks like they'll end up around 55 wins, give or take a couple of games.



With regard to runs scored, so far the Bucs have plated 319 runners, an average of 2.82 per game.  If they maintain that pace, they'll end the season with 457 total runs scored.  With regard to our contest, Javy is closest with his prediction of 544 runs scored.  Yikes!


very enlightening!  One minor correction team has scored 319 runs in 90 games so that is average of 3.54 so if they average that for the season the runs scored would be 574.  Of course who thinks the team can maintain this pace?




Oops! Thanks for that. I divided their 319 runs by 162 games I thought the 2.82 runs was too low. Math is hard. Three out of every two people don't understand it.

114751454A50404B465163444E424A4F0D40230 wrote: The Pirates are currently 34-56, a winning percentage of .378.  To maintain that pace, they would have to go 27-41 the rest of the way, where they'd end the season at 61-101, a .376 winning percentage.  As Bobster pointed out, that's well-above the pace at which they've played since that 12-11 start.  (Since those first 23 games, they've played at a .328 pace, going 22-45).



To end at 50 wins, that means going 16-56 after the Break, a .222 winning percentage.  Unless BC trades Frazier, Reynolds, and Rodriquez, they should manage that.



To end at 59 wins, they need to go 25-47, a .347 winning percentage, which would be an improvement on how they've played since those first 23 games.  A lot of things would have to go right, even with no one being traded, for that to happen.



So indeed, it looks like they'll end up around 55 wins, give or take a couple of games.



With regard to runs scored, so far the Bucs have plated 319 runners, an average of 2.82 per game.  If they maintain that pace, they'll end the season with 457 total runs scored.  With regard to our contest, Javy is closest with his prediction of 544 runs scored.  Yikes!


very enlightening!  One minor correction team has scored 319 runs in 90 games so that is average of 3.54 so if they average that for the season the runs scored would be 574.  Of course who thinks the team can maintain this pace?




Oops!  Thanks for that.  I divided their 319 runs by 162 games  I thought the 2.82 runs was too low.  Math is hard.  Three out of every two people don't understand it.


not that I'm a math wizard but I think it is very possible that they don't score 200 runs in next 72 games.